PredictionMarketsPicks MCP server

• Registry namecom.predictionmarketspicks/commoditiesverified in the MCP registry

The registry name sits under predictionmarketspicks.com. The registry only lets a publisher use that namespace after proving control of the domain through DNS or HTTP.

• Stateanswerschecked 2026-10-16
• Tools10
• Server calls itselfpredictionmarketspicks-commodities
• Server version1.2.0
• Protocol version2025-06-18

On 2026-10-16 the server answered initialize and tools/list without a sign-in. First answer in 406 ms.

• Whether its tools do the product's job has not been judged yet.
• Checked on 6 of the 7 days it takes to judge reliability.

Said by rules from the measurements above. The likely first call is a model's pick from the tool list; read its description before relying on it.

• INITE MCP scoreafter a weeka score needs 7 daily checks: 6 so far
• Answeredmeasuring6 of the 7 daily checks it takes to print a share
• Median first answer417 ms
• Space in an agent's context≈ 2,188 tokensthe definitions of all its tools (10), which an agent carries on every turn
• Tool definitionsA · 100 of 100
• Typed results6 of 10 toolsdeclared outputSchema: results come typed, read once

• Every tool passes all six checks.

A program checks the server once a day: initialize and tools/list, no model. Tokens are the definitions' length at about four characters a token. The grade averages six checks of every tool's name, description, schema and annotations; it says how well the tools are described, not whether they work. The score weighs what was measured and nothing else: answering (30%), doing the product's job (25%), definitions (20%), context (10%) and use (15%). A part that was not measured is left out, and a hidden instruction caps the score at 40. The state of vendors' MCP servers: method and numbers →

• fifteen_min_board

  Use for "what is the ETH 15-minute market doing" and "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open". Every Kalshi 15-minute up-or-down series — crypto, metals, energy, FX — with window status, YES price, close time, target price, what it…

• perps_board

  Use for "Kalshi perps funding rate" and "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps". Every Kalshi perpetual future: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage long and short, funding cadence, and what funding has cost a long since…

• perp_liquidation

  Use for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi". Estimates a Kalshi perp's liquidation price and the % move to it from Kalshi's risk parameters (a 5x BTC long is about 8% away, not the 20% the 100÷leverage rule implies), plus…

• commodity_edge

  Use for "gold edge today" and "oil or bitcoin trade signal". The Kalshi daily gold, silver or WTI strike, or hourly bitcoin strike, with the largest PMP model edge, as a ticket: side, entry price, resolve criterion, model probability…

• market_pulse

  The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). Returns the composite, the regime call and 2 category scores without an account, 4 to a signed-in…

• fed_rate_odds

  Use for "will the Fed cut, hold or hike" and "next FOMC meeting odds". Live Kalshi odds for each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting: the next meeting's full strike breakdown and days-until, the rate path, the current fed funds rate, and a…

• base_rate_gap

  Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and sample-size quality. Pass a known…

• convert_probability

  Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to…

• calculate_ev

  Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi or Polymarket price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read.

• kelly_size

  Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake…

• com.predictionmarketspicks/cryptoanswers, 7 toolsverified in the MCP registry
• com.predictionmarketspicks/electionsanswers, 4 toolsverified in the MCP registry
• com.predictionmarketspicks/fantasy-draftnot asked yetverified in the MCP registry
• com.predictionmarketspicks/quantnot asked yetverified in the MCP registry
• com.predictionmarketspicks/weathernot asked yetverified in the MCP registry